Frosty Fortune Simulator
A 9-tile chest board: every chest costs 60 Gems of Enigma, rarities are visible before you spend, and the Thorns of Enigma inside buy the event skins. 3 free refreshes a day, then 90; clearing a board refreshes it for free.
Community drop tables. Costs, refreshes, packs and currency rules are verified. The chest rarity odds and reward tables come from a single community capture (internally consistent; other guides repeat it rather than confirm it, and one disagrees on the Regular table) because no in-game odds screen has been published. The skin odds are the wiki's simulation. Treat projections as estimates, and log your real chests below to firm them up.
Budget projection
What your Gems of Enigma — on hand plus the remaining days of missions — buy on average, with no paid refreshes.
Gems of Enigma available
840
0 on hand + missions
Chests
14
840 Gems of Enigma
Expected Thorns
≈ 46.7
18 Gems of Enigma per Thorn
Chest milestones
2 / 5
at 5 / 10 / 20 / 30 / 50 chests
≈ 2.9 Treasure Hunt Chests≈ 3.7 Mythic General Hero Shards≈ 1.1 Lucky Hero Gear Chests≈ 10.3 Fire Crystals
Skin planner
Odds of affording the Snowmobile skin by total Gems of Enigma spent on chests, from the community wiki's simulated table (interpolated between its rows).
Chance at 840
22%
spent so far + everything available
Gems of Enigma for 90%
3,488
Gems of Enigma for 99%
4,447
Gap to 90%
2,648
23 × $0.99 = $22.77
| Pack | Gems of Enigma | Per $ | Packs | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.99 | 120 | 121.2 | 23 | $22.77 |
| $2.99 | 360 | 120.4 | 8 | $23.92 |
| $4.99 | 500 | 100.2 | 6 | $29.94 |
| $9.99 | 900 | 90.1 | 3 | $29.97 |
| $19.99 | 1,700 | 85 | 2 | $39.98 |
| $49.99 | 3,500 | 70 | 1 | $49.99 |
| $99.99(max 3/day) | 6,000 | 60 | 1 | $99.99 |
Packs reset daily, so a stack of the cheapest tier takes that many days of buying. The smallest pack is the best Gems of Enigma value; bigger tiers are priced for their VIP points.
Board simulator · Day 1 / 7
Tap a chest for 60 Gems of Enigma. The board shows its rarities up front — this one is worth ≈ 0 Thorns unopened.
Chests opened
0
Gems of Enigma used
0
Thorns pulled
0
Luck
—
0 Treasure Hunt Chests0 Mythic General Hero Shards0 Lucky Hero Gear Chests0 Fire Crystals
Community odds
Odds measured from real boards and chests that signed-in players logged, next to the capture the simulator uses. Updated every 10 minutes.
Loading community odds…
Log my real chests
Help measure the real odds: record what the in-game board showed and what your chests gave. Only the counts are used, pooled with everyone else's.
Sign in to log your real chests.
Drop tables
Per tile: a rarity is rolled first, then one reward from that rarity's table. A Splendid chest averages 13.4 Thorns against a Regular's 1.75.
Splendid8.5% of tiles · ≈ 13.4 Thorns per chest
100× Thorns of Enigma · 2%50× Thorns of Enigma · 6%20× Thorns of Enigma · 42%10× Treasure Hunt Chests · 9%5× Mythic General Hero Shards · 1%3× Mythic General Hero Shards · 5%1× Mythic General Hero Shards · 15%1× Lucky Hero Gear Chests · 8%100× Fire Crystals · 0.5%20× Fire Crystals · 3.5%10× Fire Crystals · 8%
Exquisite24% of tiles · ≈ 4.22 Thorns per chest
100× Thorns of Enigma · 0.5%20× Thorns of Enigma · 6%6× Thorns of Enigma · 42%3× Treasure Hunt Chests · 9%3× Mythic General Hero Shards · 1%2× Mythic General Hero Shards · 5%1× Mythic General Hero Shards · 16%1× Lucky Hero Gear Chests · 8%50× Fire Crystals · 0.5%10× Fire Crystals · 4%5× Fire Crystals · 8%
Regular67.5% of tiles · ≈ 1.75 Thorns per chest
100× Thorns of Enigma · 0.3%6× Thorns of Enigma · 10.7%2× Thorns of Enigma · 40.5%1× Treasure Hunt Chests · 10%3× Mythic General Hero Shards · 1%2× Mythic General Hero Shards · 4%1× Mythic General Hero Shards · 13%1× Lucky Hero Gear Chests · 8%20× Fire Crystals · 0.5%5× Fire Crystals · 4%2× Fire Crystals · 8%
- Free refreshes are pure upside; a paid refresh (90) costs 1.5 chests to chase a Splendid that shows up on 8.5% of tiles — on average you do better opening chests.
- Clearing a board refreshes it for free without using a daily refresh, so full sweeps are the cheapest way to see new rarities.
- Gems of Enigma carry over to the next run; Thorns do not — spend them in the Emporium before the event ends.